ELECTION campaigning officially kicked off last week as the UK prepares for the December 12 election. Here’s which party is expected to win in your constituency.
Election campaigning officially began this week, firing the starting gun for what is expected to be a bitterly-fought campaign period. Labour promised an “irreversible shift“ of power if it won, while the Tories reiterated the promise to “get Brexit done”. The Lib Dems, Plaid Cymru and the Green Party have formed an electoral pact, agreeing not to stand against each other in dozens of seats. Here is who is expected to win in your constituency.
Who will win in your area?
With all the talk of tactical voting, swing seats and marginals, some forecasts are already able to show the most likely outcome for all 650 constituencies.
The Electoral Calculus is considered the “leading vote/seat predictors on the internet”, according to an Oxford professor.
The site has published its seat explorer – head , type in your postcode and it will show you the prediction for your constituency – you can also scroll down to the bottom of this story to use our easy seat finder.
Of course, predictions can be wrong and there’s no real way to prove what will happen on election day.
But widespread polling shows the possibility of an outright Conservative majority is increasing ahead of election day.
The Electoral Calculus is forecasting a Conservative majority of 76, based on polling date from October 1 to October 25, sampling 11,304 people.
Putting the Tories in the lead with 35.3 percent, Labour trails in second with 25.3 percent, translating to 186 seats.
The Lib Dems are in third, with 18.1 percent – 31 seats – and the Brexit Party in fourth with 11.3 percent, but no predicted seats.
Other polling sites show similar outcomes.
YouGov’s recent voting intention poll surveyed 3,284 British adults between November 1 and 4.
The poll put the Tories ahead with a strong lead of 39 percent, trailed by Labour with 27 percent.
Lib Dems are in third with 16 percent, and the Brexit Party in fourth with seven percent.
This week, we can expect plenty of election catchphrases and promises as parties begin their official campaigning.
Boris Johnson’s party will officially kick off the “get Brexit done” campaign on Wednesday.
Also on Wednesday, Jeremy Corbyn will make a speech in which he will promise “real change: under Labour.
The Liberal Democrats have pledged to spend £2.2bn a year on mental health services, funded by a one percent rise to income tax.
The Lib Dem campaign launched with leader Jo Swinson saying the election could be “a moment for seismic change” when “a new and different politics” emerges.
Ms Swinson said she could do “a better job” than either Boris Johnson or Jeremy Corbyn as prime minister.
The Green Party will launch its campaign with a promise to invest £100bn a year on climate action.
SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon will urge Remain voters in Scotland to back her party in a bid to stop Brexit.