Election 2019: Why the Remain alliance WON’T work – ‘There’s no realistic chance’

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THE UK will hold an early general election in December in an attempt to break the Brexit deadlock and a Remain alliance has now formed in a bid to do so.

The UK general election will be held on December 12, two and a half years after Britons last cast their votes in 2017. The election will be held in an attempt to break the Brexit deadlock and for Prime Minister Boris Johnson to restore a majority in Parliament. But the Prime Minister is facing competition from a so-called Remain alliance – consisting of Liberal Democrats, Green Party and Plaid Cymru.

The three parties want to maximise the chances of Remain candidates elected to Parliament.

They hope to stop Brexit either by cancelling the withdrawal process or trough a referendum.

In order to do so, Plaid Cymru, Lib Dems and Greens have all vowed to step aside when one of them has a decent chance.

They are expected to target a series of constituencies in Wales.

In August, the parties succeeded in doing so at the Brecon and Radnorshire by-election.

Plaid and the Greens bowed out in favour of Welsh Lib Dem leader Jane Dodds who won a majority of 1,425.

Speaking in London, Lib Dem leader Jo Swinson said: “Our country needs us to be more ambitious right now – and we are rising to that challenge.

“It is not about the red team or the blue team, because on this issue they merge into one – both Labour and the Conservatives want to negotiate and deliver Brexit.

“I never thought that I would stand here and say that I’m a candidate to be Prime Minister, but when I look at Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn, I am absolutely certain I could do a better job than either of them.”

The three parties’ plan would almost certainly swing the results in some areas, including Ceredigion, the seat most likely to see a Lib Dem-Plaid contest.

But it is unlikely any of the parties will let go of that seat.

Another seat on Plaid’s list is Ynys Mon.

Labour currently holds a 5,259 majority there over the Conservative Party with Plaid coming third in 2017.

The party would also love to take Llanelli from Labour, which has a majority of 12,024.

However, even if Plaid took all the Lib Dem votes it still wouldn’t have won in 2017.

With 48 percent of voters backing Remain in the 2016 referendum it might be thought that an alliance of this kind would wield near-unstoppable power in a general election.

But according to Professor Roger Awan-Scully, of Cardiff University, there is a “major, obvious limitation”.

He told the BBC there are “not many realistic chances for either of these two parties [Plaid and the Lib Dems] to win [additional]seats in Wales at the general election”.

Prof Awan-Scully added: “You have the prospect, for instance, of a strongly pro-Remain Labour MP like Anna McMorrin, in a very competitive marginal seat like Cardiff North, having to fight against both Plaid and the Lib Dems, as well as her Conservative challenger.

“That does not help the pro-Remain cause.”

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